On June 25, 2025, (Ax-4) mission. The Ax-4 mission, a collaborative effort involving NASA, the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), the European Space Agency (ESA), and Axiom Space, underscores India’s ambition to become a global space power.
Former Air Marshal Anil Khosla, Indian Air Force
For News Analytics
a 6 mins read.
Born on October 10, 1985, in Lucknow, Group Captain Shukla is a seasoned IAF test pilot with over 2,000 hours of flight experience on aircraft like the Su-30 MKI, MiG-21, and Jaguar. Commissioned in 2006 after graduating from the National Defence Academy with a bachelor’s in computer science, he later earned a master’s in aerospace engineering from the Indian Institute of Science. As the mission pilot for Ax-4, launched on a SpaceX Falcon 9, Shukla monitored flight systems, supported docking, and ensured crew safety during the 28-hour journey to the ISS.
As the second Indian astronaut to reach space and the first to visit the International Space Station (ISS), Shukla’s achievement, 41 years after Wing Commander Rakesh Sharma’s 1984 flight aboard a Soviet Soyuz, signifies India’s triumphant return to human spaceflight. Launched from NASA’s Kennedy Space Centre, Ax-4, led by veteran astronaut Peggy Whitson, included mission specialists from Poland and Hungary, marking their return to human spaceflight after decades. The 14 to 21-day mission involves over 60 experiments from 31 countries. India’s seven experiments focus on microgravity plant growth (fenugreek and green gram), microbial behaviour, muscle regeneration, and tardigrade resilience, advancing space agriculture, biotechnology, and health sciences for long-duration missions and Earth applications.
The mission reflects a shift toward commercial spaceflight. A 2024 U.S.-India agreement allocated a NASA seat to ISRO, enabling NASA to prioritise deep-space missions while Axiom Space manages low Earth orbit operations.
This milestone is a pivotal step for the Gaganyaan program, India’s first indigenous human spaceflight initiative, and reflects its broader strategic vision in a rapidly evolving space race.
The 21st century has transformed space from a realm of scientific exploration into a strategic arena of geopolitical rivalry, commercial opportunity, and national interest. Once dominated by superpowers vying for prestige through moon landings, space is now a multipolar landscape where the United States, China, Russia, India, and private entities compete for influence, profit, and security. The stakes are high, encompassing military capabilities, resource extraction, and technological supremacy, as nations and companies race not just to explore but to shape the future.
Space is increasingly militarised, with nations developing anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, directed energy systems, and cyber tools to disrupt critical assets like GPS, reconnaissance, and communication satellites. The U.S., China, and Russia have tested ASAT capabilities, while India demonstrated its prowess with a 2019 ASAT test. The doctrine of “space deterrence” is now integral to defence strategies, with satellite resilience and redundancy becoming priorities. Orbital debris from such tests poses a threat to commercial satellites and international cooperation, yet the absence of binding global norms heightens the risk of escalation.
Space exploration drives innovation in AI, robotics, materials science, and propulsion, bolstering national competitiveness. Breakthroughs in hypersonics, nuclear propulsion, and in-situ resource utilisation (ISRU) could revolutionise defence and interplanetary travel, with civilian applications enhancing industrial leadership. Resources like lunar helium-3, a potential fusion fuel, and asteroid metals critical for electronics offer economic promise. Diplomatically, space power translates to geopolitical influence. Navigation systems like GPS, Galileo, and BeiDou confer strategic leverage.
The commercialisation of space is a transformative trend. Companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, Virgin Galactic, and OneWeb are pioneering technologies that redefine access to orbit. Reusable rockets have slashed launch costs, satellite mega-constellations like Starlink provide resilient communication, and space tourism is becoming a reality. Lunar and asteroid mining, although still in its early stages, promises access to resources such as helium-3 and rare metals, potentially reshaping the global economy.
GLOBAL PLAYERS IN THE SPACE RACE
The United States has maintained its space superiority since the Apollo era. However, its focus has shifted from symbolic missions to systemic control in recent years. NASA’s Artemis program, which aims to return astronauts to the Moon and eventually launch a mission to Mars, reflects scientific ambition and a strategic desire to secure permanent infrastructure beyond Earth. At the same time, the U.S. Space Force, established in 2019 as the sixth branch of the U.S. military, demonstrates an explicit acknowledgement that space is now a warfighting domain. Beyond governmental initiatives, U.S. strategy heavily relies on public-private collaboration.
SpaceX has revolutionised launch technology with reusable rockets, significantly reducing costs and increasing launch frequency. These capabilities not only benefit commercial goals but also provide logistical and tactical advantages in a military context. The deployment of Starlink, A satellite internet constellation, offers dual-use utility, with the potential to provide secure communications during terrestrial conflicts, as seen in Ukraine.
China has emerged as the most formidable challenger to U.S. dominance in space. With the Chinese Communist Party’s state-backed, long-term strategic planning, space is central to China’s ambitions to become a global superpower. The China National Space Administration (CNSA) has launched missions to the Moon (Chang’e series), Mars (Tianwen-1), and built its space station, Tiangong, in low Earth orbit. China’s doctrine emphasises “civil-military fusion,” integrating civilian scientific missions with military readiness.
The BeiDou satellite navigation system is a clear example, providing independence from U.S.-controlled GPS and enhancing the precision of China’s missile systems. China has also demonstrated anti-satellite (ASAT) capabilities, raising concerns about the weaponisation of space. In 2007, its successful ASAT test against one of its satellites marked a turning point in the strategic perception of space conflict.
Russia’s space program, led by Roscosmos, builds on its Soviet-era legacy with reliable Soyuz rockets and extensive experience in crewed missions. The Luna-25 mission, though unsuccessful in 2023, reflects ongoing lunar ambitions, while partnerships with China on the International Lunar Research Station signal strategic alignment. Russia’s anti-satellite (ASAT) capabilities and GLONASS navigation system underscore its focus on maintaining military and technological influence in space.
India has become a rising space power through its cost-effective and technologically ambitious missions. ISRO has demonstrated its capacity with landmark missions such as Chandrayaan (Moon), Mangalyaan (Mars), and most recently, Chandrayaan-3, which made India the first country to land on the Moon’s South Pole. With its 2019 Mission Shakti ASAT test, India joined the exclusive club of nations capable of disabling satellites in orbit, underscoring its intention not only to explore space but also to defend its national interests there. As India plans its first crewed mission (Gaganyaan), its space ambitions are increasingly aligned with long-term geopolitical calculus.
Scheduled for 2027, Gaganyaan aims to send three astronauts to a 400-kilometer orbit for three days, showcasing India’s independent human spaceflight capability. Shukla, alongside Group Captains Prasanth Balakrishnan Nair, Ajit Krishnan, and Angad Prathap, trained in Russia and Bengaluru. Shukla’s Ax-4 docking experience will refine Gaganyaan’s operations.
Gaganyaan is a cornerstone of India’s ambitions, including the establishment of the Bharatiya Antariksh Station (BAS) by 2035, with its first module launching in 2028, and a lunar mission by 2040. Engaging over 500 Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), ISRO aims to capture 8% of the global space market by 2033, building a $44 billion space economy and positioning India among elite spacefaring nations. The mission’s hands-on experience prepares ISRO for BAS and lunar goals while elevating India’s global standing.
ISRO’s development of a human-rated launch vehicle (HLVM3), life support systems, and precursor missions, such as the Space Docking Experiment (SpaDeX) and PS4-Orbital Experiment Module (POEM-4), ensures readiness.
ULTIMATE HIGH GROUND
Space is no longer a remote frontier of science fiction; it is the ultimate high ground in a multipolar world. Whether through state actors racing to establish dominance, private companies transforming exploration into enterprise, or militaries securing orbital advantage, the dynamics of space are shaping the 21st-century balance of power. Group Captain Shubhanshu Shukla’s Ax-4 mission marks a new chapter in India’s space journey. By carrying the Indian flag to the ISS, he paves the way for Gaganyaan, BAS, and lunar ambitions. Rooted in global collaboration and strategic vision, the mission positions India as a rising space power. As Shukla declared, “This is the beginning of India’s human spaceflight,” a call to action for a nation poised to touch the stars with glory.
(Air Marshal Anil Khosla (R), Former Vice Chief, Indian Air Force. Researcher & Analyst Distinguished Fellow – USI & CAPS. The views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The News Analytics Herald.)
Major Highlights
- Group Captain Shukla’s Ax-4 flight marks India’s human spaceflight comeback.
- His mission boosts India’s Gaganyaan readiness for independent crewed spaceflight by 2027.
- Space is now a geopolitical frontier; India’s role boosts security and influence.
- India partners with NASA, ESA, and private firms, preserving strategic autonomy.
- India eyes $44B space economy, station by 2035, Moon missions by 2040.
